Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.014327 0.016094 0.017881 0.019818 0.021852 0.023920 0.026175
2025-04-27 0.010629 0.013324 0.016185 0.019414 0.022930 0.026617 0.030752
2025-05-04 0.008042 0.011209 0.014722 0.018827 0.023425 0.028358 0.033997
2025-05-11 0.006619 0.010139 0.014196 0.019067 0.024638 0.030713 0.037749
2025-05-18 0.005312 0.009015 0.013452 0.018923 0.025301 0.032357 0.040623
2025-05-25 0.004052 0.007774 0.012437 0.018348 0.025376 0.033260 0.042597
2025-06-01 0.003095 0.006788 0.011632 0.017939 0.025571 0.034239 0.044600
2025-06-08 0.002304 0.005906 0.010872 0.017515 0.025692 0.035086 0.046410
2025-06-15 0.001798 0.005359 0.010495 0.017521 0.026290 0.036457 0.048792
2025-06-22 0.001247 0.004623 0.009794 0.017068 0.026293 0.037101 0.050310
2025-06-29 0.000713 0.003747 0.008809 0.016182 0.025719 0.037027 0.050966
2025-07-06 0.000335 0.002982 0.007894 0.015328 0.025136 0.036907 0.051535
2025-07-13 0.000198 0.002753 0.007854 0.015754 0.026300 0.039040 0.054943
2025-07-20 0.000036 0.002188 0.007220 0.015354 0.026432 0.039970 0.056999
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001653 0.006536 0.014825 0.026364 0.040636 0.058726
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001429 0.006376 0.015038 0.027251 0.042461 0.061825
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001133 0.006009 0.014909 0.027664 0.043684 0.064190
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000785 0.005426 0.014399 0.027532 0.044207 0.065692
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000532 0.004963 0.014035 0.027574 0.044928 0.067418
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000329 0.004519 0.013659 0.027573 0.045578 0.069043
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000225 0.004314 0.013665 0.028093 0.046881 0.071457
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000101 0.003895 0.013264 0.028017 0.047408 0.072907
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000011 0.003299 0.012483 0.027363 0.047165 0.073392